Let’s take a mini-test. I will discuss the results in another post. All are invited, all are welcome. Good faith is urged.
Let’s say we knew without a doubt that anthropogenic influences meant that temperatures were going to rise 2C over the course of this century. Please take a minute to marshal your list of what we would do to either prevent it or adapt to it before, during and after. Order your list–what’s the first thing you would have us do? What’s next?
Now let’s imagine that we learned that our treatment of the planet meant that temperatures were going to rise by 3C over the same period.
What would we do differently? I have asked this question repeatedly without anyone ever giving an answer.
And for 4C–same question.
It is my working hypothesis that if we ordered a list of adaptation and mitigation processes, the first 10 things we would do would be absolutely the same for each level of rise.
If true, that would mean that a lot of the squabbling going on between various factions is not strictly necessary. We could actually just start doing the first 10 things on the list and by the time we had finished we might even know whether or not number 11 was appropriate.
For bonus points on this exercise, please indicate which items on your list are things we should do whether or not there is any global warming for the rest of this century.