I think my only mention in Wikipedia is for a critique I wrote of Earth 2100, the ABC television show meant to warn us of the possible dangers of climate change. I wrote “. . . when people realize (as they are realizing now) that temperatures are not going to climb every year, they are not going to remember what sober scientists say. They are going to think of Earth 2100 and other scare stories about catastrophe, and realize that they were lies. They will then completely tune out science and it will be impossible to even do the sensible things we can and should do.” I guess that’s a prediction of my own, of sorts. Not sure how that’s going to play out, but I thought I’d pay a visit to what Earth 2100 predicted for 2015.
Jan. 2015: “From coast to coast, motorists are searching for relief from soaring gas prices.” …”We can see a doubling or even a tripling of gas prices. That’s after inflation.”
Guess I’ll give that a miss.
July 14, 2015: “Good morning, Miami. The summer of 2015 is on track to be one of the hottest in history.” According to NOAA, that’s actually correct. Score one for the documentary.
“A man who worked at the gas station came out holding a sign. ‘No Gas. Sold Out.’ I guess they missed on that one, too.
Sept. 8, 2015: “I’ve been staking out an area that’s been hit hard recently by gas snatchers.” Hmm. No, not really…
“In the face of mounting protests over rising gas and food prices, Congress approved a plan today for construction of 40 new coal-fired power plants over the next 5 years.” Whoops! We’re sort of going in the opposite direction.
“The country took the easy way out.” No, the country didn’t. We retired coal plants and built solar and wind mills instead. Coal used to produce 48% of our electricity. Now it’s 34% and dropping.
Peter Gleick makes an appearance. “All the bad things from climate change are coming true.” Like no hurricane landfalls, like lower storm intensity and frequency, like record harvests and absolutely normal global levels of precipitation. Yeah, Peter. Go steal some more papers.
Oct. 21, 2015: “They’re calling it the storm of the century. Hurricane Linda, packing Category 5 winds. …big storms weren’t unusual. But this one was bigger and it was headed for Miami.” Well, we’ve got six weeks to wait for this one.
Later in 2015… “Some 250,000 Bangladeshi refugees fleeing from last month’s devastating cyclone…” …”Thousands riot as China faces its worst wheat shortage in a decade, the result of seemingly endless drought…”
That science fiction stuff is tough. I guess I’ll stand by what I wrote when the show came out.